Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 419.622330 478.546805 544.565246 624.347539 718.593429 826.918853 961.624631
2025-08-24 330.391692 406.075493 498.956730 622.659609 785.104552 993.994980 1287.607503
2025-08-31 277.837056 358.395276 463.331337 612.532978 823.355499 1117.065986 1569.051979
2025-09-07 245.859280 329.604626 444.055207 615.762207 873.762865 1258.800119 1900.707785
2025-09-14 216.902187 299.871821 417.729691 602.492331 894.690606 1357.019262 2183.437137
2025-09-21 196.688436 279.461207 401.174434 599.739681 928.925214 1479.120982 2530.580872
2025-09-28 174.380004 253.187483 372.306071 572.985918 918.744630 1523.541103 2746.662454
2025-10-05 166.352390 247.488102 374.008630 595.145978 993.556905 1728.804137 3320.397222
2025-10-12 160.426437 244.263490 378.952337 622.899426 1082.097058 1976.045391 4050.197593
2025-10-19 150.718330 233.884190 370.821516 626.315069 1125.379133 2142.495980 4650.225790
2025-10-26 138.800187 218.727205 352.989204 609.665514 1126.655028 2221.633804 5065.244953
2025-11-02 129.088099 206.439179 338.895198 598.162860 1136.270037 2320.200144 5559.739567
2025-11-09 124.639338 202.990280 340.402992 617.448943 1214.731613 2594.717689 6638.140190
2025-11-16 117.638065 194.482952 331.943238 616.008792 1248.369266 2771.780514 7510.098980
2025-11-23 110.239289 184.642334 320.048592 606.005668 1260.938365 2899.106480 8280.398714
2025-11-30 105.174887 178.629331 314.802178 609.193750 1304.664713 3117.801026 9450.812858
2025-12-07 98.682788 169.473942 302.664197 596.093363 1306.968924 3224.467123 10274.996742
2025-12-14 93.903296 163.187160 295.620973 593.375780 1334.730370 3410.626987 11494.314365
2025-12-21 87.041554 152.466657 278.860280 566.961144 1297.738765 3397.212596 11906.281675
2025-12-28 85.565723 152.035751 282.935393 588.840525 1391.657509 3810.392954 14381.596300
2026-01-04 84.628492 152.573727 289.032005 616.239499 1506.011205 4325.112462 17697.469658
2026-01-11 81.569771 148.656589 285.377697 619.611295 1553.294862 4628.199445 20184.069872
2026-01-18 77.054199 141.504519 274.223543 603.175016 1540.047500 4713.282525 21548.399512